“For as in the days before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and giving in marriage until the day when Noe entered the arc…” Matthew 24 38-393
Behold, the Iceman Cometh
“For as in the days before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and
giving in marriage until the day when Noe entered the arc…” Matthew 24 38-393
PART ONE - 1997 2005 Edited version - Subsequent Columns at end
GLOBALWARMING OR GLOBALONEY?
THE FORGOTTEN CASE FOR GLOBAL COOLING
By Phil Brennan
PART ONE
Foreword
Is the world heating up? Will the polar ice caps melt, raise the sea levels and inundate
the coastal areas of the world? Will Florida disappear beneath the waves? Is humanity
facing a fiery cataclysm from global warming?
Is mankind in the process of radically altering the earth's climate by thoughtlessly
emitting monstrous quantities of so-called "greenhouse gasses."
Or is it all a lot of hooey?
The answer to these questions is of absolute importance to all Americans who value their
liberty, because behind all the rhetoric about global warming and mankind's culpability
for this impending disaster is a shrewdly planned campaign to inflict a lot of socialistic
restrictions on our cherished freedoms.
Environmentalism, in short, is the last refuge of socialism.
It is no accident that one of those in the forefront of the global warming alarmists is
one Michael Gorbachev, an unrepentant socialist who appears to believe if you can't lick
'em one way, find another. Among his cohorts are the governing elites of the socialist
European nations.
Under the guise of saving the planet from a kind of self-inflicted incineration the
Clinton administration sought to impose some of the most Draconian restrictions on our
liberties ever contemplated.
The debate over global warming is the most crucial Americans have faced since the Cold War
ended with the demise of what now appears to have been the first phase in the ongoing
attempt to build a world socialist order.
That attempt was brutal and overt -- the Communists made no secret about their plans to
bury us, by force if necessary.
The latest power grab by the left is far more subtle -- and covert. And it must be met
with the same vigor that energized America in its battle with world communism because if
those promoting the global warming panic prevail, the outcome will be much the same as it
would have been had we lost the Cold War. Only the commissars will differ. It will be the
Gores instead of the Gorbachevs.
Cooling? Global refrigeration instead of Global barbecuing? You bet. And there's a heck of
a lot more solid scientific evidence that what the world is facing is the onset of a new
ice age than there is behind the very fragile global warming theory.
Up until the mid-Seventies there was general agreement among researchers, who studied such
arcane signs of the far distant past as sedimentary deposits on the ocean floor, that
sooner or later a new ice age was in the cards for this planet. Even the CIA signed on to
the idea that the iceman cometh.
The idea that an ice age was approaching was based on history, not hysteria -- the
motivating force behind global warming studies. And what history taught
paleoclimatological scientists engaged in what is known as quaternary research, is the
incontrovertible fact that the earth has experienced a long series of ice ages occurring
as regular as clockwork -- 100,000 years of glaciation followed by 10-to-12,000 years of
interglaciation.
There is, they maintained, no reason to believe that what appears to be an immutable law
of nature has somehow been miraculously repealed and the cycle of glaciation and
interglaciation ended.
No reason, except for political expediency. But more about that later.
Here's a sample of the kind of thing that was being discussed back in the mid-seventies by
that part of the scientific community that dealt with the geological history of climate
changes:
"The present interglacial interval -- which has now lasted for about 10,000 years --
represents a climatic regime that is relatively rare during the past million years, most
of which has been occupied by colder, glacial regimes. Only during about 8 percent of the
past 700,000 years has the earth experienced climates as warm or warmer than the present.
"The penultimate interglacial age began about 125,000 years ago, and lasted for
approximately 10,000 years. Similar interglacial ages -- each lasting 10,000 plus or minus
2000 years and each followed by a glacial maximum -- have occurred on the average every
100,000 years during at least the past half-million years.
“During this period, fluctuations of the northern hemisphere ice sheets caused sea
level variations of the order of 100 meters." (Understanding Climate Change,
published by the National Academy of Sciences in 1975 -- page 181).
On page 189 the question was asked: "When will the present interglacial [period] end?
"Few paleoclimatoligists would dispute that the prominent warm periods (or
interglacials) that have followed each of the terminations of the major glaciations have
had durations of 10,000 plus or minus 2000 years. In each case, a period of considerably
colder climate has followed immediately after the interglacial interval.
Since about 10,000 years have passed since the onset of the present period of prominent
warmth, the question naturally arises as to whether we are indeed on the brink of a period
of colder climate."
"The question remains unsolved. If the end of the interglacial is episodic in
character, we are moving toward a rather sudden climatic change of unknown timing ... if
on the other hand, these changes are more sinusoidal in character, then the climate should
decline gradually over a period of a thousand years."
A study prepared for the 95th Congress in 1978 agreed with the National Academy of
Sciences position as explained in the above-quoted study. The document Weather
Modification: Programs, Problems, Policy and Potential warned:
"In geological prospective, the case for cooling is strong ... If this interglacial
age lasts no longer than a dozen earlier ones in the past million years, as recorded in
deep sea sediments, we may reasonably suppose the world is about due to slide into the
next ice age."
That was the prevailing opinion among paleoclimatologists; it was a case of the past being
prologue. If the earth underwent regular cycles of glaciation and interglacial periods,
and the geological record proved that to be the case, then obviously we are at the end of
the present between-ice-ages period.
The only question remaining is exactly when and how glaciation will begin.
Remember, what we are dealing with here is historic evidence -- not a widely disputed
theory as is the case with global warming. Even a cursory glance at the global warming
debate reveals that even its most ardent supporters disagree on the details.
Moreover, the so-called evidence is so contradictory that one group of scientists will
claim that the ocean temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere are heating while others will
insist they are cooling.
Even the scientific record is spotty. One group will insist that the Northern latitudes
are warming while others will point to growth of the polar ice pack and the forward
progress of some glaciers.
Amazingly, the preponderance of opinion that obtained among paleoclimatoligists back in
the Seventies and early Eighties, is never addressed. It's as if the record of a regular
glacial/interglacial cycle never existed. It has been ignored because it is much too
inconvenient to those who have a vested interest in pushing the Globalwarming Glabaloney.
Interestingly, both the ice age predictions and the Global Warming theory agree that the
climate is changing, and not for the better. And both rightly ascribe the changes to the
drastic increase of CO2 in the atmosphere.
But there the agreement ends. The Global Warming supporters blame the rise of CO2 levels
on the rabid environmentalist movement's principal villain: mankind.
Those who either believe in the onset of a new ice age, or simply do not buy the global
warming scenario, blame the rise in CO2 levels on natural causes. And it at this point
that we venture out beyond the provable historical geological evidence and enter the realm
of speculation based on some pretty compelling (and commonsensical) arguments.
In 1982, a retired engineer, John D. Hamaker, published a book, The Survival of
Civilization, in which he expounded on his research into climate change.
Ice ages, Hamaker explained, are Mother Nature's versions of spring house cleaning.
During ice ages, as glaciers move over the land they pick up rocks, grind them into powder
and, when they retreat at the end of an ice age, they leave this ground rock spread out
across the continental areas they covered.
This powdered rock contains tiny microorganisms which mineralize the soil, providing a
superior form of fertilization. Over the next 10,000 plus or minus 2000 years the soil
loses more and more of its fertility as the sedimentary rock dissipates.
Without the life-giving microorganisms, plant life grows weaker and weaker, and eventually
dies. And since healthy plant life thrives on CO2 and absorbs much of that gas in the
atmosphere, when it weakens and dies it can no longer soak up the excess CO2, which
remains in the atmosphere.
Hamaker also noted that the geological record shows that whenever the CO2 in the
atmosphere reached levels above 300 parts per million the onset of glaciation occurred!
CO2 levels have already risen above 300 PPM. The most recent readings show the level as
362ppm and still sharply rising!
Next Week: Part Two -- How CO2 Triggers Ice Ages, and what Havoc it can Wreak.
From July 9th, 1997 Issue of Wednesday on the Web (http://www.pvbr.com/)
GLOBALWARMING OR GLOBALONEY
THE FOGOTTEN CASE FOR GLOBAL COOLING
By Phil Brennan
Chapter Two
FOREWORD
The panic over global warming has totally ignored historical knowledge concerning the
constant cycle of glaciation and interglaciation -- the record that shows for at least the
last 700,000 years the earth has undergone an ice age every 100,000 years without fail.
Paleoclimatological studies have revealed that these ice ages lasted about 90,000 years,
and were followed by interglacial periods of temperate climate lasting from 10,000 to
12,000 years.
The last ice age ended more than 10,800 years ago, indicating that we are approaching the
end of the present interglacial period and, if the past is indeed prologue, the onset of a
new ice age is, immanent.
Moreover, the historical record also shows that the onset of ice ages have been preceded
by an increase in so-called Greenhouse Gasses -- the villain supposed to be causing global
warming, not global cooling!
In other words, these greenhouse gasses -- essentially atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (CO2) --
that are supposed to cause global warming, melt the polar ice caps and glaciers, raise the
sea level and submerge coastlines all across the globe are actually the triggers that set
off ice ages!
In Part One we asked if what the record proves to be an immutable law of nature has
somehow been miraculously repealed. And if it has, who has repealed it? Al Gore? Friends
of the Earth? That part of the scientific community wedded to the Global Warming theory no
matter what the record --past or present -- shows?
Ice Ages, and especially the period that precedes them, are anything but tea parties. The
historical record shows that this allegedly gentle and loving Mother Earth of ours has
demonstrated a tendency to eat her young, and that her appetite for her children grows
egregiously voracious as ice ages approach.
It behooves us, therefor, to look very carefully at the greenhouse gas phenomenon. If it
is indeed heralding the advent of an ice age, we should be aware of just what that means
in terms of our future and that of our children.
It also means we should take a very careful look at this global warming baloney, because
under the guise of coping with a widely ballyhooed threat, some exceedingly Draconian
measures are being proposed, and in some cases have already been imposed on us. In the
name of environmental safety we are being dragged into a socialistic system.
And these measures are completely useless. They won't do a damned bit of good. The
increased levels of CO2 were raised not by us, but by Ma Nature and all the legislation
and scientific mumbo jumbo in the world isn't going to help one little bit.
We are told that our use of fossil fuels and evil mankind's polluting ways caused the rise
of greenhouse gases, and if we are to reduce their atmospheric levels we must take the
most environmentally, economic and politically restrictive steps to avoid being baked like
a potato in a red hot oven.
Think about it. CO2 skyrocketed 100,000 years ago and helped bring on an ice age, but has
any body suggested that the CO2 levels were boosted by auto emissions or the burning of
fossil fuels? Of course not -- there weren't any 100,000 years ago. There wasn't a Toyota
or a backyard barbecue in sight.
Beloved Mother Nature did it all on her own.
In Chapter Two we will examine the role CO2 pays in triggering ice ages, and what it is
that causes levels of this greenhouse gas to go through the roof.
THE ROLE OF C02 IN TRIGGERING ICE AGES
Let's begin with this: it IS getting warmer -- in certain parts of the globe. But that
warming will eventually result in global cooling on a massive scale.
And it is not a paradox, this business of global warming bringing on global cooling --
it's a natural process operating in much the same way as the refrigerator in your kitchen
does.
Engineer John Hamaker laid it all out back in the late 70s to the mid -80s. Unfortunately,
he squandered the credibility his exhaustive studies of climate and earth systems earned
him by insisting on a utopian crash program to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels by
remineralizing the surface of the entire earth, and demanding massive -- and impossible --
changes in the world's political and financial structures.
If CO2 levels were rising as a result of demineralization of the soil, he suggested, then
by golly, do what glaciers do during ice ages. Grind billions of tons of rock into dust
and spread it over the earth by aerial spraying, much the way water is dumped on forest
fires by planes.
Moreover, he was way off in his estimates of how and when the full effects of global
cooling would be felt.
He had everybody starving by 1995 -- a year in which fad diets were a rage.
But his basic understanding of the mechanics of climate change far exceeded that of most
of the world's leading climatologists because he was able to stand back and see with his
trained engineer's eyes the whole picture clearly, from the effects of soil
demineralization and volcanism on climate, to the operation of the earth's tectonic system
and what it meant in terms of global cooling.
He understood fully the pernicious effects of increased CO2 levels.
Here's how he put it in his prophetic book, The Survival of Civilization:
"The natural system of soil remineralization calls for glaciation to start up every
100,000 years. The glaciers grind the rock in the top layers of the earth's crust, and
high velocity winds carry the ground rock dust all over the world. We happen to be due for
glaciation now."
During the past 10,000 years the soil enriched by glaciation has been gradually
demineralized, Hamaker wrote.
"Glaciation starts when the minerals in the soil are so depleted that they cannot
support plant life. Forests, jungles and other plant life becomes subject to destruction
from disease, insects, drought and fire. Ultimately most of the carbon in plant life winds
up as carbon dioxide in the atmosphere."
Dead and dying and weakened plant life no longer absorb the CO2 in the atmosphere --
indeed, instead of absorbing it, they emit vast quantities of CO2. And volcanic eruptions
send huge clouds of dust and CO2 into the atmosphere as well.
Simple but straightforward.
To sum up:
"Galciation is an acceleration of the normal process of using evaporated water to
carry heat energy from the warm zones to cold zones. The greenhouse effect of an increase
in atmospheric CO2 is to increase cloud cover over polar latitudes. The clouds have a
cooling effect as well as providing the snow for glaciation. The energy is dissipated in
arctic space. Glaciation occurs whenever the soil minerals left by the last glacial period
are used up and plant life can no longer regulate the CO2 by growing faster in response to
an increasein CO2 in the air. Forests are a major factor in CO2 control.
"Glaciation is only a little more complicated than your refrigerator. Energy is put
into the system to remove the heat from one batch of air and dump it into another. In the
case of glaciation the dump is the polar regions, which have an excess of cooling
capacity. The refrigerated air flows toward the equator to gradually eliminate the
tropical zones."
The signs that glaciation is in the cards are easily read. Plant life weakens, can no
longer resist plant diseases or insect infestations, volcanic eruptions increase, putting
huge quantities of dust particles into the upper atmosphere and blocking out sunlight in
the polar regions, thus allowing the snow cap to grow, tornadoes,hurricanes, and violent
storms become more frequent and more destructive, and forests fires increase in number and
severity.
Are all these things happening? In another Part of this series we will examine each of
these factors to see if they are indeed on the increase.
Chapter Three
The last of at least seven ice ages in the past 700,000 years ended about 10,800 years
ago. If Mother Nature's purpose in putting the earth in the deep freezer for 90,000 years
is to remineralize the soil, and that soil has been steadily demineralized over the past
10,800 years, then it is reasonable to expect that she is getting ready to put us back in
the fridge.
To summarize Chapters One and Two, according to a monograph by Dr. David Zink, "as
each interglacial begins, the carbon cycle of the biosphere functions vigorously as
mineral -rich soils nurture rapid plant growth which draws upon an ample reservoir of
atmospheric CO2. Then, throughout thousands of years plants and leaching rains deplete the
mineral rich soil until it is less and less able to support plant growth.
"In practical terms for one European location, this has meant that at the end of the
last interglacial the forests changed from oak to poplar to birch and finally into Artic
tundra within only 100 years.
"The final part of the processes is for returning glaciers (by grinding their way
over the continental land masses) to remineralize the soil.
"The present build-up of CO2 is thus a strong indication that the interglacial is
about over."
Zink goes on to explain that scientists have focused their attention only on "the
first stage result" of the greenhouse effect. He adds that they fail to recognize
that the greenhouse effect is the trigger that sets off glaciation.
"All that's really required to bring on glaciation is the delivery of massive amounts
of moisture to the polar regions where it falls as snow or adds to cloud cover that shuts
out sunlight and prevents the polar ice caps from melting in summertime.
"Where does the moisture come from?" he asks.
"Differential heating (greater at the equator, less in high latitudes) leads both to
an increased temperature gradient between the equator and the poles and hence stronger
circulation from the equator to the poles and to increased evaporation in equatorial
waters which makes available more moisture to be transported to the poles."
It's that simple.
John Hamaker identified the omens that foretell the advent of the glaciation process.
It begins with demineralization of the soil. Plant life loses vigor, becomes weak and can
no longer resist pests and disease the way healthy plant life can. As it weakens it is
unable to absorb CO2 and atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide increase dramatically.
Trees lose their ability to resist fire, and millions of acres of forests are destroyed
every year, throwing more CO2 into the atmosphere.
The burgeoning levels of CO2 superheat the tropics and subtropics, setting in motion the
buildup of polar ice and snow. As the ice and snow caps grow deeper and heavier, the
surface beneath is compressed, forcing the underlying magma south from the Arctic and
north from the Antarctic.
This flow seeks escape through volcanism which results in emission of CO2 and other
greenhouse gasses, as well as hurling millions of tons of dust into the upper atmosphere
where it lingers for months on end, shutting out even more sunlight at the poles.
A single volcano, provided it's eruption includes sufficient sulfur compounds, can lower
the global mean temperature by as much as 1 degree C. for many months.
There has been an increase in the number of volcanic eruptions in recent years.
The phenomenon of ice and snow cap weight increase causing a flow of magma desperate to
find release also increases seismic activity. The number of earthquakes has increased
dramatically in recent years. In 1991, for example, there were a total of 170 earthquakes.
In 1996 the number had soared to 349, and, as of 1997 appeared headed in the same skyward
direction.
Is there evidence that there is cooling going on at the same time as warming?
Listen to an e-mail message Professor Ellen Mosely-Thompson sent to Wednesday on the Web
in an attempt to clarify media reports which focused solely on warming: "Not only did
I report evidence for recent warming (emphasis was upon the tropics, subtropics, Tibet,
and the Antarctic Peninsula region), but I also pointed out that there are regions which
have exhibited cooling in the last 30 years."
Government records show that last year it was colder in both North America and Europe.
Moreover, the incredible snowfalls and sub-zero temperatures experienced in much of the
U.S. were among the worst ever recorded.
Tornadoes and violent storms have increased sharply. In 1950 there were 201 tornadoes. By
1953 the number had jumped to 422 and in 1957 there were 858. In 1994 the number had
skyrocketed to a dizzying 1,082.
And the snow cover at the poles has continued to grow, not melt as the global warming cult
expects.
The omens are there. The iceman cometh.
Chapter Four
The year 1896 looms large in the history of modern day climatolgy. It was then that a
Nobel prize winner, Svante Arrhenius coined the phrase "Greenhouse Effect."
In his time, however, nobody associated the phrase with global warming because it had not
occurred to anybody that earth's climate was about to change.
In 1938, Britain's Sir George Simpson of the Royal Meteorological Office became the first
climatologist to show that the greenhouse effect would not create global warming, but
instead, would increase cloud cover, one of triggers that set off glaciation..
Wrote Simpson: "I was able to show that if the solar radiation [the so-called
greenhouse effect] were to increase, the temperature of the earth's surface would not
increase to anything like the extent that one would expect from an increase of solar
radiation; but that the clouds would increase and return the greater part of the
additional solar radiation without warming the surface of the earth ... The light which
the clouds reflect cannot be used to warm the earth; it is just returned to space, and to
that extent the solar radiation is reduced ..."
In 1955 famed geologist Cesare Emiliani discovered the existence of a series seven
systemic ice ages by measuring oxygen isotopes in ocean bottom cores.
Two years later, two scientists, Roger Revelle and Hans Suess, set out to convince their
colleagues -- and later, politicians -- that the earth was entering a global warming
phase. It was they who first enlisted a young Tennessee Congressman named Al Gore in the
global warming campaign
Then, in the early 1960s, George Kukla and Julius Fink examined glacial loess deposits and
found evidence of ten ice ages in the samples. Later, in 1977, the journal Quaternary
Research published their findings in an article "Pleistocene Climates in Central
Europe: At least 17 Interglacials after the Olduvai Event."
"Their study carefully documented their work in the interlayered soils exposed in
excavated brickyards of Czechoslovakia," wrote John Hamaker in The Survival of
Civilization."
Their work revealed "17 major cycles of glacial loess deposition and subsequent
interglacial soil 'decalcification' (and overall demineralization) over the last 1.7
million years..."
According to former government scientist, futurist and psychologist -- and the real
historian of the global warming/global cooling dispute, Dr. George Kaplan, the majority of
climatologists subscribed to the belief that the world was approaching the onset of
glaciation.
"In 1955, Cesare Emiliani ... brought forward what we would consider the modern
contribution to deep climate research," Kaplan said in a 1984 interview.
"And Emiliani predicted the onset of ice ages. He discussed ice ages of the past, and
from them was able to predict what was happening now. And so, beginning in '55 we find the
start of serious climatology, with a number of researchers all of a sudden entering the
area and becoming very interested in what was happening to climate. All of them ... just
about all of them -- stressing the cooling aspects going down into the next ice age.
"In 1957 the counter theory was brought to the fore and this was the carbon dioxide
warming theory born from Dr. Roger R. Revelle and Dr. Hans Seuss, both of them from the
Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
"And in 1957 began the controversy between two major theories of climate -- one
cooling, the other warming."
Kaplan then noted that studies of the climate , past and present, conclusively proved the
fallacy of the warming theory.
"We found essentially that it was cooling. We found that despite the fact that we
were doubling our carbon dioxide production every 10 or 12 years from industry, despite
that fact, it was cooling. The more carbon dioxide we produced, the colder it got."
In a 1980 monograph that is as current today as it was then, Dr. Kaplan traced the
development of the global warming movement.
Noting Emiliani's ocean core studies and Kukla's work in Czechoslovakia, he wrote:
"In the late 1960s the land and ocean bottom findings were shown to match, and by
then it was shown that the interglacials were relatively short respites between the long
ice ages. In the late 1970s the wide interdisciplinary range of research showed that it
had been cooling on each time scale and that the present interglacial period was at its
end.
"It was further pointed out that cooling and snow cover in the northern hemisphere
began to grow in 1938 and that there appeared to be a strong relationship between the
doubling of carbon dioxide production every 10-12 years since 1938 and the 1.5 degree
Celsius loss in average northern hemisphere temperature since that time. Certainly the
statistical correlation was very high."
Noting that hardly anything had been heard at the time about the warming theory between
1957, when Revelle and Seuss began touting the theory, and 1976, Kaplan wrote that a 1976
energy crisis policy meeting at the U.S. National Academy of Sciences sparked the onset of
the global warming alarm.
"The policy as it affected the climate soon became evident. The warming theory was
revived and began to receive much attention from the media. A sizeable effort was launched
to determine the effects of warming on the world environment and society. The National
Academy opened an avenue of research by groups which included the President's Council of
Economic Advisors, The Mitre Corporation, and the Aspen Institute for Humanistic
Studies."A series of meetings was held in Aspen Colorado; Annapolis, Maryland;
Houston,Texas, and other locations. These meetings discussed the effects of the warming on
the environment, economy, and life style."
By May of 1977, it had become evident that the Federal Government was unofficially on
board the global warming express. Yet a 1979 poll of top climatologists showed that 81
percent of those responding predicted from a variety of findings that it was cooling , and
not warming, that the world faced.
Wrote Kaplan: "these findings were drawn from a wide variety of disciplines and
methods, from oxygen isotope studies of the ocean bottom strata to carbon 14 studies of
tree rings, and included time scales from millions of years to tens of years.
"Yet despite the evidence of the thermometer, the great increase of violent climatic
variability and drought which accompany cooling, and the opinions of the large majority of
scientists, the warming theory continued to be pursued in a manner which received frequent
notice in the media, and which produced a stream of letter, brochures, and conferences
aimed at the world's political and economic leaders."
Kaplan wondered exactly what was behind this refusal of the powers that be even to
consider the overwhelming evidence that the climate was cooling and that we are in the
final days of an interglacial. He then asked a question that is yet to be answered.
"Has the warming theory 'campaign' been the last stand of an arrant scientific
ideology? Such a hypothesis can be acceptable to some, but the obvious failing of the
theory in the face of global catastrophe argues for a more substantial motivation.
"It would pay to investigate this motivation further to consider whether politics has
been responsive to poor science or whether economics and politics have made false tools
out of science for narrow interest.
"If the latter is true the manipulation and subversion of the truth seeking apparatus
by political and private interests is, in the present situation, of such extreme
malevolence that it ranks as the greatest malfeasance in history. We are headed for a
situation where mankind may be forced to confront the question of whether the political
mode as we have known it over the past 8,000 years is innately incapable of dealing with
serious problems.
"The record for the political mode in regard to climate is, after all, dismal. In
1972, a sizeable group of climatologists meeting at Brown University issued letters to the
governments of the world in which they warned of a global climatic disaster. Again in 1974
the International Federation of Institutes of Advanced Study issued a similarly grave
message to the community of governments from a meeting in Bonn. In 1976 a meeting of 85
climatologists chaired by the late Nobel Laureate Willard Libby and pioneer climatologist
Cesare Emiliani put forth another warning which was put into language by Libby. In 1976,
the CIA released two reports which it had written in 1974 and which provided the same
message in greater detail (but in 1977 military climate researchers, backed up by other
government agencies, told the writer that the CIA reports had been discounted by the
government). The consensus of the World Climate Conference was reported by Nature as
stating that the world has entered a 10,000 year cooling, that the warming theory was
complex and questionable, and that the loss of life and economic substance to the climate
would increase."
Today, almost 26 years later, the U.S. and other governments, whole slews of scientists
dependent upon government grants, and the media, remain wedded to the global warming
baloney despite mounting evidence that their cherished climate models have failed dismally
to support their predictions of global warming -- predictions which seem to change from
year to year in frantic efforts to explain why last year's predictions failed to
materialize.
Chapter Five
As we've already noted, it is getting hotter in many areas of the world. And colder in
others. The heat is creating clouds and moisture and transporting them to the poles where
they block out sunlight and drop increasing amounts of snow on the growing ice pack.
As the ice pack grows, it becomes a giant air conditioner that sends icy blasts of air
into the temperate zones, first in winter, and then for longer and longer periods until
most of the globe is in the deep freeze almost year round.
The increased weight of the ice pack also depresses the earth's surface at the poles,
forcing what John Hamaker called the underlying "gunk" supporting the surface
southward at the North Pole and northward at the South Pole. This in turn creates
increased volcanic activity (and earthquakes) as the gunk is forced to the earth's
surface. (Dr. Kaplan wrote that when the "gunk" is forced up through cracks in
the ocean bottom west of the U.S. Pacific litoral, it warms the ocean waters, creating
what we call "El Nino.")
The resulting volcanic activity heaves great amounts of volcanic dust into the upper
atmosphere, blocking even more sunlight from reaching the polar ice caps, thus helping the
ice and snow cover to become ever larger and heavier.
It is a phemomenon that feeds on itself, and the longer it goes on, the worse it gets.
The end results are colder and ever lenthening winters, more and more tectonic activity
wreaking havoc all over the globe, more and more destructive storms, and natural disasters
of an undreamed of magnitude.
The point of all of this is quite simple: the process is a natural one -- and once started
it cannot be stopped.
Nothing man can do will prevent the onset of glaciation because despite the outrageous
claims of the global warming alarmists, man's activities have little or nothing to do with
it. It began with the demineraliization of the soil and it will not end until the soil is
remineralized about 90,000 years from now .
The process has begun; man's puny efforts to reduce CO2 emissions by curbing the burning
of fossil fuels and other similar activities will not have the slightest effect on the
process of glaciation. All it will do is cost the nations of the world to waste trillions
of dollars and vastly restrict the personal freedoms of the world's peoples at a time when
they should be preparing, materially and spiritually, for a continuing series of global
catastrophes.
None of us now living will see actual glaciation. Nor will our children, or grandchildren,
and natural disaster will follow upon natural disaster.
The only real question remaining is how long it will take for the glaciation process to
set in. That question was answered by paleologist-pollen specialist Genevieve Woillard in
a 1979 Nature article.
Woillard reported on her studies of pollen samples in a lake bottom in South Vosges,
France. She wrote that at the start of a number of past glacial periods, the vegetation
changed from temperate zone trees to subarctic needle-bearing trees in a period of 150
years plus or minus 75 years. The change was one of gradual detioration until the last 20
years. During that final score of years, the type of vegetation completely changed.
What her studies, and those of other paleoclimatologists who have examined past ice ages
show, is that the transition between interglacial and glacial periods is one of increasing
violence -- more volcanic eruptions, storms, earthquakes and other natural disasters.
At this writing (1997) parts of Europe and Asia are suffering from the worst floods in 200
years. Much of the U.S. underwent serious flooding and unheard of snowfalls last winter
and spring. As previously reported in this series, the number of volcanic eruptions and
tornadoes has skyrocketed in recent years.
Just how bad can it get? Well, NASA's Volcanoes - The Inside Story web site
(http://cotf.edu/ETE/scen/volcanoes/volcclim.html) has this to say about just one result
of the onset of the glaciation, proceess: "great "volcanic eruptions and the
kind of havoc they wreak:
"Great eruptions emerge from two types of volcanoes: fissure eruption and giant
caldera. In both types, the volume of volcanic rock deposited on the surface of the Earth
during a single great eruption can be many hundreds of cubic miles - hundreds of times
larger than the major eruptions mankind has direct experience with.
"Giant caldera eruptions explode with violence, noise, and destruction that defies
description - try to imagine an eruption ten thousand times larger than Mount St. Helens!
Several giant caldera eruptions are known to have occurred in the United States. The
Valles caldera in New Mexico expelled about 100 cubic miles of ash that still covers much
of the middle of the state. The Long Valley caldera in southwestern Nevada ejected over
150 cubic miles of ash that now makes up thick layers of rock in mountains all over the
West.
But the largest of these eruptions known in the United States came from a fairly recently
recognized giant caldera right in the middle of Yellowstone National Park. This caldera,
some 30 by 50 miles in size, covers about half of the park ...
"The Yellowstone Caldera is much larger than the crater on Mount St. Helens. The
explosive ash deposit from Yellowstone is also much larger that the deposit from Mount St.
Helens.... The Yellowstone eruption blasted out a phenominal 300 cubic miles of ash in a
thick blanket that extended from California to the Mississippi River. All life within
hundreds of miles must have been extinguished in less than an hour.
"In giant fissure eruptions, sometimes called "flood basalt" eruptions, the
Earth simply cracks open and disgorges vast amounts of fluid basalt. These giant outflows
are not explosive, but they may continue for weeks without a break, inexorably burying
vast areas under a sea of liquid rock. Flood basalt eruptions also come in swarms: as soon
as one finishes, another begins. Multiple outflows from the same set of cracks continue
for thousands of years, creating enormous barren plains of rock. The largest flood basalt
deposit in the United States is the Columbia River Basalt group which covers the eastern
third of the state of Washington, a quarter of Oregon, and part of Idaho. One individual
layer of basalt - a single eruption - covers 15,000 square miles to depths of 100 feet or
more - a total volume of about 600 cubic miles. The entire Columbia River group covers
50,000 square miles to depths of a mile or more, with a total volume of 25,000 cubic
miles! All of this stuff came out of a group of cracks, each 30-50 yards wide and tens of
miles long, in western Idaho. Flood basalt volcanoes are the largest known deposits of
volcanic material.
"Given what we know about what a major eruption can do the the world's environment,
we can only guess at the conditions great eruptions create. However, we do know that many
of the world's great flood basalt eruptions correspond in time with some of the great
periods of extinction of life in the Earth's past - indicating extremely challenging
climatic conditions for extended periods of time. Fortunately, the larger an eruption is,
the less frequently it occurs: many small eruptions occur around the world every year,
large eruptions occur every year or so, major eruptions occur on scales of decades to
centuries, while great eruptions.... Well, the Columbia basalts, the world's youngest
major flood basalt deposit, are about 15 million years old. The Long Valley and Valles
Calderas blew up, respectively, about 11 million and 700 thousand years ago. The
Yellowstone caldera erupted about 600 thousand years ago. Certainly no great eruptions
have occurred during recorded history. It would seem that humanity is unlikely to
experience a great eruption anytime soon. On the other hand, the Yellowstone blast is only
the latest in a string of eruptions in that area that occur every 600 thousand years or
so. And its about that time again.... "
And that could be just the beginning.
Chapter Six
SUMMING UP
Driven into a state of near panic, the world's governments are proposing to spend
trillions of dollars and impose draconian regulations upon all of us in an all-out,
Tower-of -Babel effort to counteract the perceived threat of Global Warming.
The rising level of atmospheric CO2, we are told, is creating a dangerous level of global
warming. Further, the increase in CO2 levels is the result of man's activities such as the
burning of fossil fuels and the harvesting of lumber. Man must therefor be prevented from
doing any further harm to the environment as the world embarks on a crash program to lower
the levels of greenhouse gases.
As we wrote at the outset, it is getting warmer -- in certain parts of the globe. It is
also getting colder in others. But those who view this as a symptom of a catastrophe in
the making -- a catastrophe that involves withering heat around the earth, the melting of
glaciers and the polar ice caps, a resultant rise in sea level and the inundation of vast
areas of coastline, are, as Dr. David Zink put it, looking at merely one part of the
problem. They fail to understand that what they see is a cause, and are therefor blind to
its ultimate result.
They are like the four blind men who each feel a different part of an elephant and then
attempt to describe the entire beast on the basis of their limited experience with small
parts of it.
It is our contention that the facts point to an entirely different situation -- the
pending arrival of a new ice age and the inevitable catastrophe such an eventuality
entails.
The evidence that the current interglacial is ending is clear for anyone willing to ignore
the current wisdom and look carefully at it:
•Research has shown that there has been an ice age every 100,000 years, followed by a
warming period that lasts for 10,000 to 12,000 years. The last ice age ended about 10,800
years ago.
"Most people who worry about global warming assume that the earth's temperature right
now is ecologically ideal and that any significant warming would be harmful if not
disastrous. Scientists who take the longer view know otherwise. " wrote Kent Jeffreys
of the Competitive Enterprise Institute in the National Center for Policy Analysis' Policy
Report #96.
*In the past two to three million years the earth's temperature has gone through at least
17 climate circles, with ice ages typically lasting about 100,000 interrupted by warming
periods lasting about 10,000 years.
*Since by some calculations the current warm period is about 13,000 years old, the next
ice age is overdue."
Jeffreys notes the fact that back in the 1970s: "Many scientists warned of a coming
ice age, and with good reason. Although there has been a slight increase in average
temperatures during the twentieth century, many regions of the globe have experienced
sustained cooling trends."
•The record speaks for itself. In the history of the Earth, ice ages are the norm.
They occur regularly as clockwork and as such, must be regarded as immutable laws of
nature. It would be sheer folly to believe that this law has somehow been repealed.
•We are now between 10,800 and 13,000 years removed from the end of the last ice age.
Is it not prudent to expect the onset of another ice age?
•Studies have show that when atmospheric levels of Carbon Dioxide (CO2) -- the
principal greenhouse gas -- exceeded 290 parts per million (ppm), the last ice age began.
The current levels [1997] of CO2 exceed 362 ppm and they continue to rise.
Studies of data collected from ocean bottom samples 200 miles off the coast of Ecuador by
Nickolas Shackleton and associates at Britain's Cambridge University provided CO2 readings
for the past 130,000 years, a period covering the last interglacial, the ice age that
followed, and the current interglacial.
These data confirmed the rise of CO2 levels that preceded the last ice age, and the point
at which the process became inevitable.
•Ice ages are nature's way of rejuvenating the earth after soils have been depleted
of their vital nutrients.
During glacial periods, as the glaciers slowly cover large sections of the earth over tens
of thousands of years, they grind the rocks in their path into a fine dust. This rock dust
is then carried by wind and water over many widespread areas of the globe. Because rocks
are composed of minerals, this mixture of dust from many types of rocks remineralizes many
of the earth's forests, rejuvenating them. As they thrive and spread, they consume the
excess carbon dioxide, and nature's greenhouse effect subsides, shutting off the wind and
evaporation engine that built up the glaciers.
In 1979, Genevieve Woillard, a pollen specialist in France, concluded from detailed
studies that the shift from a warm, interglacial climate to ice age conditions at the
beginning of the last ice age, some 100,000 years ago, took "less than 20
years." Her observations of the decline of European forests led her to conclude we
may be in a similar period of rapid climatic change.
Late in interglacial periods , soil minerals are eroded or leached away, the earth's
vegetation loses these essential nutrients and dies off significantly. Carbon is meanwhile
returned to the atmosphere where it becomes carbon dioxide, creating a greenhouse effect,
with all its climatic consequences.
•The health of the Earth's Plant life has declined drastically. Ecological studies
show that forests are dying out or being destroyed by an increasing number of forest fires
at at alarming rate all across the globe. All over the world, plant life is being attacked
by pests and disease that healthy plant life would be able to resist.
In a report published by the World Resources Institute, Jonathon Lash, president of the
group, listed 76 countries comprising almost all the nations of Europe and East Africa and
all of North Africa and the Middle East as having completely lost all of their original
forests or were left with forests so small they can no longer support the diversified
plant and animal life they once sheltered.
According to Interior Secretary Bruce Babbit, the year 1996 was one of the worst years
ever for forest fires In that year there were 96,000 forest fires burning more than six
million acres nationwide.
•Increased levels of atmospheric CO2 cause excessive warming in the tropics and
subtropics, which in turn triggers the onset of ice ages.
Writing in a July, 1990 issue of the Christian Science Monitor, the late Norman Cousins
explained the process:
"Far less familiar to the public are arguments about a serious earth cooling.
Scientists calling attention to this danger don't necessarily argue against the effects of
CFC's and carbon dioxide. More insistent, they say, is the danger of a rapid cooling
produced by a buildup of billions of tons of ice in the Arctic and Antarctic. They assert
that the same greenhouse effect that produces a temperature increase in the equatorial
regions also sucks moisture from the tropics. The moisture condenses into snow at the two
Poles and adds to the vast burden of ice cooling the polar oceans. The mass quantities of
cold air are then distributed by oceans and wind over the entire globe.
"Thus, the same increase of solar radiation that causes regional warming is believed
to have the ultimate effect of producing an ice age."
•The polar ice packs are growing, year by year. Recent studies predict even faster
growth, especially in the Antarctic. An article in this month's issue of Nature predicts
drastic growth of the polar ice caps.
Moreover, in a study published in the International Journal of Climatology, Polar Snow
Cover Changes and Global Warming, researchers H. Ye and J. R. Maher estimated the amount
of water released by melting of glaciers would end up as snow at the poles.
They predict a small net increase of snow in the Northern Hemisphere but forecast a huge
increase in the Antarctic, amounting to as much as 10 additional inches of snow per year.
"The accumulation would be most noticeable in the south polar region and the total
accumulation of water in the snow cover could result in a removal of about 900 x 1012
litres of water from the ocean yearly ... and result in thicker ice caps, especially in
Antarctica and central to northern Greenland," they wrote.
•Increased snow and ice cover at the poles results in increased volcanism which in
turn adds more CO2 to the atmosphere and creates layers of volcanic dust which blocks out
sunlight at the poles, adding even more ice cover,
Peter Tompkins and Christopher Bird, in "Secret of the Soil," (Harper and Row,
1989, write that "ice and snow, accumulating at the Poles, press down on the planet,
causing it to bulge at the seams like a balloon. This triggers the pre-stressed earthquake
faults into slipping. Hence earthquakes. It also causes volcanism -- potentially even more
dangerous -- by squeezing the molten magma and causing eruptions. The colder it gets and
the more snow presses down on the Poles, the more magma is compressed, and volcanoes act
up."
Chapter Seven
THE POLITICS OF GLOBAL WARMING
".... in December, [1997] the nations of the world will meet in Kyoto, Japan to
negotiate a treaty mandating global CO2 emission reductions. The United States delegation
will be the dominant voice in support of reducing emission levels. The economies of
countries such as Norway and Australia would be devastated due to their dependence on
fossil fuels. In the United States, the financial and political pressure to ratify such a
treaty from environmentalists and free market opponents will be massive. " Former
U.S. Sen. Malcolm Wallop
A key document at the Kyoto meetings will be the recently released 1995 report of the
United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Allegedly the result of many years of careful study by some of the world's top experts on
global climate the paper will be one of the centerpieces of the Global Warming conference.
The report to be presented at the conference is a corruption of the original that distorts
its meaning. Key parts have been deliberately omitted.
Says Dr. Frederick Seitz chairman of the George C. Marshall Institute: the report "is
not the version that was approved by the contributing scientists listed on the title
page."
"In my more than 60 years as a member of the American scientific community, including
service as president of both the National Academy of Sciences and the American Physical
Society, I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the peer-review
process."
According to Dr. Seitz, the pet theory of the global warming adherents -- that evil
mankind is guilty of overheating the climate -- is anything but universal among
scientists, a fact that was edited out of the report as it was issued.
"No study to date has positively attributed all or part [of climate change] to
anthropogenic (human] causes," he said.
This vitally important clarification was removed from the report, he added.
"Nearly all of [the changes] worked to remove hints of the skepticism with which many
scientists regard claims that human activities are having a major impact on climate ....
Nothing in the IPCC Rules permits anyone to change a scientific report after it has been
accepted by the panel of scientific contributors and the full IPCC..."
Seitz concludes with this withering blast:
"IPCC reports are often called the 'consensus' view. If they lead to carbon taxes and
restraints on economic growth, they will have a major and almost certainly destructive
impact on the economies of the world. Whatever the intent was of those who made these
significant changes, their effect is to deceive policy makers and the public into
believing that the scientific evidence shows human activities are causing global
warming."
This one shocking display of the sheer dishonesty that marks the political drive to impose
destructive "carbon taxes and restraints on economic growth" as Seitz put it,
should warn the world that these would-be tyrants riding the wave of the global warming
hysteria they have created simply cannot be trusted.
It is vitally important that the significance of this incident not be overlooked: If human
activities are not causing climate changes it follows that the blame for any such changes
must fall squarely on the shoulders of Mother Nature. And the whole case for imposing
drastic economic and political restrictions on the nations and peoples of the world
collapses!
Just what lies behind this scientific trickery?
Earlier in this series, we quoted Dr. George Kaplan's assertion that the Global Warming
theory could well be "the last stand of an arrant scientific ideology.
What he wrote bears repeating here: "Such a hypothesis can be acceptable to some, but
the obvious failing of the theory in the face of global catastrophe argues for a more
substantial motivation.
"It would pay to investigate this motivation further to consider whether politics has
been responsive to poor science or whether economics and politics have made false tools
out of science for narrow interests.
"If the latter is true the manipulation and subversion of the truth seeking apparatus
by political and private interests is, in the present situation, of such extreme
malevolence that it ranks as the greatest malfeasance in history. We are headed for a
situation where mankind may be forced to confront the question of whether the political
mode as we have known it over the past 8,000 years is innately incapable of dealing with
serious problems."
Although the media has ignored the shocking revelation of hanky panky at the IPCC, at
least one journalist, Robert Samuelson has seen the global warming issue for what it is:
"A gushing source of national hypocrisy."
The subversion of science to the cynical political interests of the Gores and Gorbachevs
is explainable. That part of the scientific community that has embraced the idea of global
warming and put the blame for it on mankind's' activities are simply falling in line with
the current wisdom -- a dangerous thing to ignore when you work for the government or rely
on government grants.
Wrote Samuelson: "Hardly anyone wants to admit candidly the uncertainties of global
warming. It's politically incorrect ... but it's political suicide to do anything serious
about it."
This is serious business, for more reasons than one.
To begin with, as we have seen, the most economically and poltically destructive measures
are being justified by a flawed premise that mankind is busy screwing up the environment
to the point that the world is in danger of being roasted like a suckling pig on a spit.
Even more serious is the fact that all of the signs point to the impending onset of
glaciation. And because the world is focusing on the specious idea of global warming,
nothing is being done to prepare mankind for the disasters that lie immediately ahead.
As we have seen, the climate changes we are witnessing are being brought on by a natural
process which accompanies the end of an interglacial period. And that process is
irreversible.
Mother Nature is determined to have her way and nothing we can do will prevent her from
going about the business of repairing the damage done to the planet by the
demineralization of the earth's soil.
Given that fact, governments should be concentrating on preparing for the cataclysm to
come, not wasting their time and treasure fighting the will-o-the-wisp of global warming.
Chapter Eight
CONCLUSION - WHAT'S AHEAD?
If you're one of those people who can't stand hearing bad news, you'd better stop reading
right here. If our contention that the world is entering a period of increasing cooling
leading to the next ice age is correct, what lies ahead is anything but pretty.
And there is far more evidence that what we are now experiencing are the effects of global
cooling -- of the end of an interglacial period -- than there is of global warming as an
isolated phenomenon.
The transition period between interglacial periods and glaciation is not a smooth one
--history shows it to be violent beyond imagination. And it may be just around the corner.
If the unchallenged results of the work of Genevieve Woillard and others who studied past
ice ages are any indication of the pace of glaciation, once it starts, the transition
period is a mere twenty years or so. And we may be well into that 20-year period now.
Woillard estimated that the period before that final 20 years -- when the earth began
gearing up for an end to the interglacial period -- could be as long as 150 years and as
short as 75 years
It is important to understand that what we are concerned with here is solely that
transition period. It is the only part of the process that will affect us or our children
or grandchildren and generations after them. Actual glaciation -- that period when much of
the globe is covered with huge sheets of ice, is thousands of years away. New Yorkers, for
instance, needn't worry about seeing their city groaning under the massive weight of miles
of glacial ice unless they plan to live for another 30,000 years or so.
Glaciers move at a snails pace, but history shows that the process which sets them in
motion is lightning fast.
The proponents of global warming insist that the climate is getting warmer. They cite all
sorts of contradictory evidence based mainly on computer modeling. And their models have
consistently failed to conform to reality. The things they confidently predict will happen
simply don't happen. It's a classic case of GIGO -- garbage in, garbage out.
They cite as one proof of warming average global mean temperatures which in reality should
be termed global meaningless temperatures. Averaging out temperatures from around the
globe will not give any indication of what is actually afoot. What matters is how hot it
is in the tropics and subtropics and how cold it is at the poles.
Using global mean temperatures in this case is something like reporting that the average
mean score of a 14 point-to-six point football game was 10 points, without giving any
other information.
It ignores the fact that one team won and one team lost!
The case for global cooling, on the other hand, deals with demonstrable facts. And it
explains much of the phenomena that puzzles most of the scientists who deal with them.
Take volcanism, for example. Volcanologists are scratching their heads over the vast
increase worldwide in volcanic eruptions. The current eruptions in Monserrat and Hawaii
have wondering what's behind the increase in volcanic activity and what's next.
Global cooling proponents have a ready explanation: the increasing weight of the fast
growing ice caps at the Poles.
As Peter Tomkins and Christopher Bird explained in their book, Secret of the Soil:
"... ice and snow, accumulating at the poles presses down on the planet, causing it
to bulge at the seams like a balloon. This triggers the pre-stressed earthquake faults
into slipping. Hence earthquakes . It also causes volcanism -- potentially more dangerous
-- by squeezing magma and causing eruptions. The colder it gets and the more snow presses
down on the Poles, the more magma is compressed and volcanoes act up."
Scientists studying the so-called El Nino phenomenon, exhibit frustration over their
inability to understand what causes the waters of the Pacific to heat up, creating all
sorts of climatic aberrations. Explanations are a dime or dozen. And none of them even
scratches the surface of reality.
Yet the answer is deceptively simple.
The mechanics described above by Bird and Tomkins supply a ready explanation for El Nino.
Red hot magma squeezed from beneath the Poles finds release through cracks in the eastern
Pacific Ocean subflooring, superheating the surrounding waters. Dr. George Kaplan
explained this as far back as 1984, but nobody paid any attention to him.
The increasing severity of storms, heavier rainfalls, blizzards leaving deeper and deeper
snow in their wake , flood after flood all over the globe and droughts such as the those
now devastating such places as North Korea are also results of Mother Nature's closing out
of the current interglacial.
As the ice packs grow, they send colder and colder air toward the equator. That
increasingly colder air eventually meets with tropical air, and it is axiomatic that when
cold air clashes with hot air there is violent weather. And the icier the cold air and the
hotter the warm air, the more violent the weather.
This process feeds on itself. As the amount of atmospheric CO2 increases, more moisture is
sent Poleward, resulting in more snowfall to build heavier and heavier polar ice packs
which fail to decrease in summertime because the cloud cover created by the moisture-laden
air transported from the tropics prevents any thawing.
As the ice packs grow deeper and heavier, more magma is squeezed out and sent toward the
equators, creating more volcanic activity, which spews more and more volcanic ash into the
upper atmosphere, along with enormous quantities of greenhouse gasses. This results in
greater and greater amounts of moisture-laden clouds being sent Poleward. And so on.
As the glaciation process continues, winters get longer and longer, Colder air reaches
further and further toward the equator, summers get shorter and shorter, and growing
seasons slowly vanish.
Areas previously blessed with temperate climates are transformed into subarctic regions,
and the subtropics turn colder and colder.
And all this can happen in a matter of a very few years. So few, that the world may very
well learn that the interglacial has been repaced by the glaciation process before the end
of the next decade -- or even earlier.
At any rate, we won't have to wait very long for an answer our question: globalwarming or
globaloney?
And, as we have said repeatedly, if the iceman cometh, nothing any of us can do will make
one little bit of difference. We will be at the mercy of Mother Nature -- more and more
dependent on each other -- and in the hands of God.
Subsequent Columns
North Dakota had the earliest major snowstorm in 130 years on October 5.
With up to two feet of snow and blizzard conditions, one of the earliest major snow storms
to hit North Dakota in 130 years shut down highways, closed schools, downed trees and
knocked out power to thousands. National Guard soldiers were called out to rescue stranded
motorists in the southwestern part of the state.
"It is, on our records, probably one of the earliest ones, as far as our recorded
history goes, in 126, 130 years," said Sam Walker, a meteorologist with the National
Weather Service in Bismarck .
As much as 11 inches of snow fell in southeastern Montana . Billings received 10.8 inches
of snow.
That was almost one inch over the old record of 9.9 inches, said meteorologist Tom
Humphrey.
Snowbird Ski Resort in Utah received its first snow of the year, with more on the way.
On October 6 the snowfall in one day:
Carlyle , MT ---18”
Weston , WY ---15”
Billings , MT ---11”
Alta , UT ---10”
Sheridan , WY ---8”
Snowbird, UT---8”
On October 24, Hurricane Wilma- a Category 3 cyclone smashed into Southeast Florida
causing extensive damage and leaving massive power outages in its wake. 90 percent of Dade
Broward and Palm Beach were left without electicity and phone service. Residents were told
that it couold take weeks to restoire utilities. Gasoline was unobtainable throughout the
area because filling stations lacked the power to pump fuel. With most food markets shut
down, food was scarce. In many ways the aftereffects of Wilma echoed those on the Gulf
Coast after Hurricane Katrina struck that area.
On the heels of the storm a cold front raced throught the area and plunged temperatures to
record breaking lows for this time of the year. Thermomenters read as low as 40 degrees.
From iceagenow.com: One-fourth of a year’s snowfall in 12 days!
– 26 Oct 05 - Another record shattered! “NEVER has such a complete
snow pack built so quickly or so early on Mount Washington,” says Mt. Washington
website.
“Absolutely incredible," says the website. "The 24 hour snowfall record for
October, which stood for 36 years, shattered a mere 8 days ago, was broken again this
morning. The summit picked up 27.5 inches of snow again with this latest storm, 25.7 of it
in 24 hours, breaking the old record of 25.5 inches set on October 17th. We've had 72
inches of snow now in the last 12 days, nearly 25 % of a normal year's total!!!
“More amazingly, the infamous record for total monthly precipitation set in February
of 1969 at 25.56 inches has also been eclipsed, as we sit at 27.85 inches of combined rain
and melted snow now for the month of October.
“. . . I can't find the words to describe the amount of snow on the summit anymore.
I've used them all on the past storms earlier this month, and now they seem horribly
insufficient. October is usually a month of transition, of freezes and thaws, and only
averages a mere foot of snow. NEVER has such a complete snow pack built so quickly or so
early on Mount Washington . The forest service has even issued an avalanche bulletin on
the 5 scale today!”
Now this. Late January
13 feet of snow in Japan
All of this happened on the heels of a breathless announcement reported in the media that
the U.S. was headed for a very mild winter.
In 1997 I published an eight-part series dealing with the strong possibility that we were
on the verge of the end of the interglacial period that has lasted for about 12,000 years.
History has shown that this is approximately the duration of the periods of moderate
climates that exists beween ice ages. In other words, we are overdue for the begining of a
new ice age. In the years since I have seen nothing to convince me that this is not the
case - that we are living in the final years of the 20-year period of extreme violence
that has always preceeded the onset of ice ages.
In the past several years we have witnessed a steadily increasing number in climatic and
techtonic catastrophes ranging from earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, blizzards,
record-breaking cold spells and cloud bursts that have causes floods in area where they
are anything but normal occurances.
Some scientists and a large number of leftist political figures have insisted that all of
this is the result of an alleged warming of the planet. The evidence, however, points
instead to global cooling on a massive scale.
I am firmly convinced that we are facing a global catastrophe unlike anything mankind has
experinced in the past 10,000 to 12,000 years - a period, incidentally, that comprises all
of recorded human history. Since 1997, I have revisted the subject a number of times, and
because I believe that we are approaching the end of an age that will climax in a series
of incredibly violent events, I think it appropriate that I lay out my case by publishing
a compendium of all my writings on the subject to date. Read this, and make up your own
minds. Remember, time's awasting. Get your lives in order.
Polar Globaloney - January 13, 2004
<li><i>"Extreme cold gripped the Northeast with wind chill readings well
below zero, forcing even the hardiest New Englanders to think twice before venturing
outside. In New York, the wind chill reached minus 26 degrees in one city."
<li>According to weather service meteorologist Charlie Foley in Taunton, Mass.
"The real meat of the cold is here in New England. This cold is coming right from the
North Pole."
<li>Global warming will cause a massive extinction of the earth's biota, researcher
Chris Thomas told the Washington Post "we're talking about 1.25 million species. It's
a massive number." </i>
Am I missing something here? It's ears-dropping-off cold - temperature records falling all
over the place - and 19 researchers writing in the January 8 issue of Nature are telling
is that by 2050 - just 46 years from now, one and a quarter million "species"
will have gone the way of the dinosaurs thanks to global warming.
This off-the-wall prediction actually was treated by the media as a dire warning worth
reporting that the world is turning into an oven that will bake a lot of species into
extinction. Even Nature, the respected science journal thought the notion worth
publishing.
The folks at Frontiers of Freedom took a close look at the claim and dismissed it as
scientifically unsupportable, but that misses the point. To be worth noting, one has to
accept the idea that global warming exists.
Look at it this way. The Marxists promoting the global warming scam as a dandy way to
create a world socialist order through UN sponsored action allegedly designed to prevent
mankind from being roasted have been telling the world through the New York Times, Dan
Rather and a lot of other global warming propagandists that the polar ice cap is melting
and the polar regions are on their way to becoming a tropical paradise.
There's a little problem with this; if the North Pole is warming up, how can it continue
to send record breaking cold fronts south to plunge the Northern U.S. into the deep freeze
again and again?
Remember what meteorologist Charlie Foley said: "This cold is coming right from the
North Pole."
You don't have to be a climatologist to understand what's going on here. Simple common
sense, not in abundance in the ranks of the global warming propagandists, should tell us
that if the polar regions are warming up, cold fronts originating from the polar regions
should be moderately cold - not icy, bone-chilling cold such as what we've been seeing
over recent winters.
Cold fronts come from the polar regions, as Foley remarked. The colder it is around the
North Pole, the colder the fronts it sends south will be. If the polar regions are in the
process of getting warmer, they can't send the kind of bone chilling cold fronts south
which the northern U.S. is now experiencing. Period.
Now unlike the experts who recently explained the record breaking cold as the result of
global warming, real, genuine climatologists call the notion tommyrot. It's getting so the
global warming propagandists tend to blame everything that goes wrong on global warming.
I'm sorry the idea wasn't around 65 years ago when I was still in school - I could have
blamed those bad report cards on global warming.
In February of 2001, Joe D'Aleo, Chief meteorologist at WSI/INTELLICAST, had this to say
about warming at the poles.
"Last August the IPCC [UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] talked about the
Arctic ice thinning as further evidence of global warming. There were reports in the last
two years that the Arctic ice cap has thinned in the last few decades. Then in August of
2000, IPCC scientists aboard a Russian icebreaker found broken ice with some open water
near the North Pole. Pictures appeared in a headline story titled "The North Pole Is
Melting" in the New York Times. The story was later retracted when scientists and
others familiar with the Arctic environment shouted back that open stretches of water are
common in summer even at the North Pole.
"The IPCC stuck by their story about the thinning as evidence of global warming. So
that brings us to the question - is the Polar Region really warming and is the ice cap
really thinning?
"It is true that a greenhouse effect would produce the greatest warming in the Polar
Regions because CO2 is a selective absorber with the greatest effect at very cold
temperatures found in the Polar Regions. However, a look at temperatures over the past
five decades in the Arctic region shows very little change."
So is the polar ice cap melting? "The extent of Arctic ice, and not its thickness may
be a better measurement of the temperatures in the Polar Region. The coverage of ice in
the Northern Hemisphere Arctic has been virtually unchanged since 1979 (USGCRP, June
2000), while that in the Antarctic regions has actually increased 2.6% since 1979.
(Cavalieri, Science, November 1997)."
In 1997, I wrote a report <a href=http://www.pvbr.com/Issue_1/global.htm "Global
Warming or Globaloney?"</a> in which I made the case that we are undergoing a
climate change, not toward warming, but cooling. There is substantial evidence that the
iceman cometh.
"The idea that an ice age was approaching was based on history, not hysteria -- the
motivating force behind global warming studies," I wrote then. "And what history
taught paleoclimatological scientists engaged in what is known as quaternary research, is
the incontrovertible fact that the earth has experienced a long series of ice ages
occurring as regular as clockwork -- 100,000 years of glaciation followed by 10-to-12,000
years of interglaciation.
"There is, they maintained, no reason to believe that what appears to be an immutable
law of nature has somehow been miraculously repealed and the cycle of glaciation and
interglaciation ended.
"No reason, except for political expediency."
According to the National Academy of Sciences -Understanding Climate Change, published in
1975:
"The present interglacial interval -- which has now lasted for about 10,000 years --
represents a climatic regime that is relatively rare during the past million years, most
of which has been occupied by colder, glacial regimes. Only during about 8 percent of the
past 700,000 years has the earth experienced climates as warm or warmer than the present.
"The penultimate interglacial age began about 125,000 years ago, and lasted for
approximately 10,000 years. Similar interglacial ages -- each lasting 10,000 plus or minus
2000 years and each followed by a glacial maximum -- have occurred on the average every
100,000 years during at least the past half-million years.
"During this period, fluctuations of the northern hemisphere ice sheets caused sea
level variations of the order of 100 meters."
The question was asked: "When will the present interglacial [period] end?
"Few paleoclimatoligists would dispute that the prominent warm periods (or
interglacials) that have followed each of the terminations of the major glaciations have
had durations of 10,000 plus or minus 2000 years. In each case, a period of considerably
colder climate has followed immediately after the interglacial interval.
Since about 10,000 years have passed since the onset of the present period of prominent
warmth, the question naturally arises as to whether we are indeed on the brink of a period
of colder climate."
"The question remains unsolved. If the end of the interglacial is episodic in
character, we are moving toward a rather sudden climatic change of unknown timing ... if
on the other hand, these changes are more sinusoidal in character, then the climate should
decline gradually over a period of a thousand years."
A study prepared for the 95th Congress in 1978 agreed with the National Academy of
Sciences position as explained in the above-quoted study. The document Weather
Modification: Programs, Problems, Policy and Potential warned:
"In geological prospective, the case for cooling is strong ... If this interglacial
age lasts no longer than a dozen earlier ones in the past million years, as recorded in
deep sea sediments, we may reasonably suppose the world is about due to slide into the
next ice age."
That was the prevailing opinion among paleoclimatologists; it was a case of the past being
prologue. If the earth underwent regular cycles of glaciation and interglacial periods,
and the geological record proved that to be the case, then obviously we are at the end of
the present between-ice-ages period.
I have seen nothing to disabuse me of the idea that sometime in the future the world will
undergo a new ice age. The cycle of 90,000 years of glaciation followed by 10,000 to
12,000 years of interglaciation has been going on for at least a half-million years and I
can't see how this process has suddenly been repealed.
In the case of recurring ice ages, there's not a damn thing mankind can do to prevent its
recurrence. But in the case of global warming, the Marxists such as Mikhail Gorbachev
insist that government action imposing all sorts of socialist restrictions such as the
Kyoto treaty can fend off the imagined climatological disaster. It's worth noting that the
great majority of climatologists back in the 1970s accepted the idea that the iceman
cometh. Then a lot of the more politically inclined scientists on government payrolls
suddenly did a 180 degree shift and switched to the global warming theory.
In the report I quoted former government scientist, futurist and psychologist -- and the
real historian of the global warming/global cooling dispute, Dr. George Kaplan, as saying
that the majority of climatologists subscribed to the belief that the world was
approaching the onset of glaciation.
Kaplan wondered exactly what was behind this refusal of the powers-that-be even to
consider the overwhelming evidence that the climate was cooling and that we are in the
final days of an interglacial. He then asked a question that is yet to be answered.
"Has the warming theory 'campaign' been the last stand of an arrant scientific
ideology? Such a hypothesis can be acceptable to some, but the obvious failing of the
theory in the face of global catastrophe argues for a more substantial motivation.
"It would pay to investigate this motivation further to consider whether politics has
been responsive to poor science or whether economics and politics have made false tools
out of science for narrow interest.
"If the latter is true the manipulation and subversion of the truth seeking apparatus
by political and private interests is, in the present situation, of such extreme
malevolence that it ranks as the greatest malfeasance in history. "
Writing for the Cato Institute’s publication " Regulation" January 12,
Richard S. Lindzen the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology quoted Aaron Wildavsky, professor of political science at
Berkeley, as quipping, "global warming'' is the mother of all environmental scares.
Wildavsky's view is worth quoting. "Warming (and warming alone), through its primary
antidote of withdrawing carbon from production and consumption, is capable of realizing
the environmentalist's dream of an egalitarian society based on rejection of economic
growth in favor of a smaller population's eating lower on the food chain, consuming a lot
less, and sharing a much lower level of resources much more equally."
That's called Marxism, and that's what it's all about.
In the meantime, don't count on heading for the North Pole for a tropical vacation. It's
COLD up there.
Let Eyes See and Ears Hear (January 11, 2005
I hate to say I told you so, but I did so I'm going to tell you again and you damned well
better listen this time.
Back in 1997 I wrote an eight-part series "Global Warming or Globaloney." In it
I argued that the earth is about to experience the end of a 12,000 year interglacial
period and enter another of those periods of glaciation which have been the norm for
millions of years.
I argued that a new ice age is aborning, I explained why I believed this to be true, and
most important of all, on the basis of the geological records, I showed what happens when
this all takes place. And it ain't pretty.
I'm not about to get into arguments about my belief that an ice age is in the cards for
dear old homicidal Mother Earth. Arguing with the global warmiacs is about as instructive
as arguing with those who still insist that the earth is flat. They blame everything
untoward that happens on global warming. I'm sure that when one of their offspring comes
home with a bad report card they blame it on global warming. After all, what else could
explain how children of such brilliant parentage could fail scholastically. Jousting with
these smart alecs is a waste of time, and as you'll see, time's a'wastin.
So let's cut to the chase. In the event that you haven't noticed, Ma Nature has been busy
zapping us with all kinds of really nasty disasters. In Florida last fall she threw four
destructive hurricanes at the state and surrounding areas one after the other. In December
she really unlimbered her artillery at Southeast Asia, rocking the earth with a 9 point
earthquake that spawned a killer tsunami and killed 150,000 people in a matter of moments.
On the heels of that there have been more quakes, at least one of which was over 6 points
on the Richter scale.
As I write, California is drowning. In the first week of the year the state got more rain
than it usually gets in a whole year. There are floods and mudslides and God knows what
else, and it's not yet over in the Golden state. The rest of the nation is also
experiencing serious weather-related catastrophes.
As I wrote in Global Warming or Globaloney "The transition period between
interglacial periods and glaciation is not a smooth one --history shows it to be violent
beyond imagination. And it may be just around the corner. If the unchallenged results of
the work of Genevieve Woillard and others who studied past ice ages are any indication of
the pace of glaciation, once it starts, the transition period is a mere twenty years or
so. And we may be well into that 20-year period now. Woillard estimated that the period
before that final 20 years -- when the earth began gearing up for an end to the
interglacial period -- could be as long as 150 years and as short as 75 years."
According to Woillard's studies and those of other paleological climate researchers the
transition between interglacial and glacial periods is one of increasing violence -- more
volcanic eruptions, storms, earthquakes and other natural disasters.
Allow me to digress. In considering what lay behind the earthquake that triggered the
killer tsunami we should note that the size, and weight of the Antarctic ice pack has
grown substantially in recent years. What's that got to do with the quake?
Just this, as I wrote in 1997 "As Peter Tomkins and Christopher Bird explained in
their book, Secret of the Soil: "... ice and snow, accumulating at the poles presses
down on the planet, causing it to bulge at the seams like a balloon. This triggers the
pre-stressed earthquake faults into slipping. Hence earthquakes . It also causes volcanism
-- potentially more dangerous -- by squeezing magma and causing eruptions. The colder it
gets and the more snow presses down on the Poles, the more magma is compressed and
volcanoes act up."
Got that? Does it not make sense?
Seismologists tell us that the 9 point quake got the planet ringing like a bell - and it's
still tolling. Since the earth is composed of a lot of tectonic plates that keep rubbing
up against each other a huge quake like the one in Asia is bound to effect the entire
system. If you doubt that, stay tuned.
In 1997 I predicted a lot of the unpleasant stuff and backed it up with what I consider to
be compelling evidence. Check it out by going to my website, Wednesday on the Web, and
reading Global Warming or Globaloney (http://www.pvbr.com/Issue_1/global.htm). It should
at least make you think.
A lot of people are suggesting that the current spate of disasters are a sign that God is
very unhappy with his naughty children and he's using them to take us to the woodshed.
I differ. If the current geological holocaust now underway is the result of a natural
cycle - in this case as I argue in my study another needed regeneration of the planet,
it's not an act of God but an act of nature. Sure God - the author of nature could put a
stop to it, but it could well be that He wants us to sit up and take notice - to use the
disasters to warn us to straighten up and fly right while there's still time - bad times
are a'commin and we had better be ready spiritually.
We're on notice. Christ told us that those with eyes better see, and those with ears
better hear. We had better keep our eyes and ears open. Time's a'wastin.
Rising CO2 Levels – The Reason Why Febrary 22, 05)
Listen up. This is very important.
The global warming fanatics have fingered rising levels of atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
(CO2) - a so-called greenhouse gas alleged to be in the process of shoving the planet in a
global microwave and raising sea levels to the point where the world's coastal regions
will be submerged.
They blame the rise of CO2, now about 370 parts per million and rapidly climbing, on us
evil humans for using fossil fuels, driving SUVs and barbecuing frankfurters on our
backyard grills. They ignore the proven fact that over millions of years, every time CO2
levels have risen above 200 parts per million, an ice has occurred. And in past ice ages,
we weren't around to cause the levels to rise. Mother Nature did it all on her own, and
she doesn't drive an SUV.
Some 19,000 of the world's scientists and experts on climatology have signed declarations
saying that rising CO2 levels are mankind's fault is garbage - junk science at its worst,
and they insist that all the available evidence proves their contention.
In fact, the global warmiacs couldn't be further from the truth. As I argued in my January
12 column last month and in my 1997 investigative report, Global Warming or Globaloney,
high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere are indeed a dire warning that something very
unpleasant is about to befall our planet and those of us who reside here, but it has
nothing to do with global warming but precisely the opposite - it is both the harbinger
and the cause of coming new ice age.
Now comes Robert W. Felix who in his book Not by Fire But By Ice - the Next Ice Age Now
argues persuasively that it is not global warming but ocean warming that has kicked up the
levels of carbon dioxide.
It's not global warming, he writes, it's ocean warming that is pushing CO2 levels through
the roof. Moreover, those skyrocketing levels of CO2, are bringing on a new ice age which
is sitting at our front door right now.
Here's how he puts it: "If today's rising carbon dioxide are caused by humans, then
what caused the dramatic rise in CO2 levels at the dinosaur extinction?
"Research shows that there was ‘a sudden and dramatic rise’ in carbon
dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere at the dinosaur extinction of 65 million years ago ...
today's rise in CO2 levels can be attributed to our warming oceans. After all, the oceans
are known as a carbon dioxide ‘sink,’ especially when the water is cold.
"But as the water warms up, it releases CO2 into the atmosphere,” he writes.
“This happens in much the same way that a warm bottle of home-brewed root beer will
release CO2. And if you give that CO2 no way to escape, the bottle will explode. We've got
it backwards. We've got cause and effect in reverse. The CO2 is not causing global
warming. Instead, our warming oceans are releasing CO2 into the atmosphere. It's not
global warming, it's ocean warming, and it's leading us into an ice age."
According to Felix, the oceans are warming as the result of widespread underwater volcanic
activity which he thoroughly documents is now happening. He adds that "We’ve
forgotten that this isn’t the first time our seas have warmed. Sea temperatures also
shot upward 10º to 18ºF just prior to the last ice age. As the oceans warmed,
evaporation increased. The excess moisture then fell to the ground as giant blizzards,
giant storms and floods (Noah's Deluge type floods), and a new ice age began."
And he warns, "The same thing is happening today. Underwater volcanic activity in the
Arctic Ocean far stronger than anyone ever imagined!
"German-American researchers have discovered more hydrothermal activity at the Gakkel
Ridge in the Arctic Ocean than anyone ever imagined.
"The Gakkel ridge is a gigantic volcanic mountain chain stretching beneath the Arctic
Ocean. With its deep valleys 5,500 meters beneath the sea surface and its 5,000 meter-
high summits, Gakkel ridge is far mightier than the Alps.
"Two research icebreakers, the ‘USCGC Healy’ from USA and the German
‘PFS Polarstern,’ recently joined forces in the international expedition AMORE
(Arctic Mid-Ocean Ridge Expedition). In attendance were scientists from the Max Planck
Institute for Chemistry and other international institutions.
"The scientists had expected that the Gakkel ridge would exhibit ‘anemic’
magnetism. Instead, they found ‘surprisingly strong magmatic activity in the West and
the East of the ridge and one of the strongest hydrothermal activities ever seen at
mid-ocean ridges.’
"The Gakkel ridge extends about 1800 kilometers beneath the Arctic Ocean from north
of Greenland to Siberia, and is the northernmost portion of the mid-ocean ridge system.
"To their surprise, the researchers found high levels of volcanic activity. Indeed,
magmatism [blazing hot magma flowing from eruptions] was ‘dramatically’ higher
than expected.
"Hydrothermal hot springs on the seafloor were also far more abundant than predicted.
‘We expected this to be a hydrothermally dead ridge, and almost every time our water
measurement instrument came up, they showed evidence of hydrothermal activity, and once we
even 'saw' an active hot spring on the sea floor,’ said Dr. Jonathan Snow, the leader
of the research group from Munich's Max Planck Institute in a 2003 press release. ”
Researchers he reported said "Naturally occurring bubbles of liquid carbon dioxide
were observed rising from the ocean floor, ”according to the Associated Press.
"For the first time ever, scientists using a camera-equipped submarine have been able
to witness an undersea volcano during an eruptive episode.
"Exploring the ocean floor in an area known as the Mariana Trench, last year
researchers found bubbles of liquid carbon dioxide being released into the sea, enlarging
up to a thousand times and turning to gas as they drifted upward."
El Niño is related to ocean warming "Ice ages looked like El Niño" according
to the July 12, 2002 issue of Nature. "During past ice ages," the article says,
‘the tropical Pacific Ocean behaved rather as it does to day in an El Niño event
...Shifts between warm and cool global average temperatures look like super El
Niños.’
“Our seas, heated by underwater volcanism, are leading us directly into the next ice
age . . . and we don’t even know it.
"That's what El Niño is all about,” Felix explained . “Warmer seas send
excess moisture into the sky, leading to increased precipitation.
"Worldwide flood activity is the worst since before Christopher Columbus. In Poland,
it's the worst in several thousand years. In the U.S., precipitation has increased by more
than 20 percent just since 1970. This is no coincidence.
"When that precipitation begins falling in the winter, you have the makings of an ice
age."
The book is an easy read, even though it is crammed full of technical detail which he
manages to explain even to scientific dunderheads like me. He goes into great detail, for
example in explaining why a reversal of the earth's magnetic field helps cause ice ages,
as it has in all past ice ages, and points out that all previous magnetic reversals were
preceded by declining geomagnetic field intensity which is falling. "During the past
2,000 years geomagnetic field intensity has plummeted more than 50 percent. Five percent
of that decrease occurred in the past 100 years "- a sign he writes, “experts
warn may be a precursor to a new reversal attempt."
Felix emphasizes that the record proves that we are on the verge of the onset of a new ice
age. "Ice ages begin and end abruptly every 11,500 years. First comes an enormous
flood, a Noah's Deluge type of flood, which ends the previous ice age. The comes a period
of warmth similar to today's ... which lasts about 11,500 years. Then the next ice age
begins - catastrophically.
"That 11,500 year cycle of warmth followed by an ice age has returned like clockwork
for millions of years. To hope it won't happen again just because humans now inhabit this
planet would be wishful thinking."
On his website www.iceagenow.com, Felix tracks the number of incidents building up to the
onset of an ice age including charting current underwater volcanic eruptions heating the
oceans, rainfall (think California), temperature, and earthquake records now being broken.
He emphasizes over and over again that the onset of an ice age is both sudden and violent,
lasting about 20 years and anyone paying attention to what is happening to our planet will
understated that we are probably somewhere in that 20-year period now. When it ends, huge
numbers of us will go extinct, just as did the dinosaurs, and as rapidly and as violently.
Let me recap: Felix has demonstrated convincingly that rising levels of CO2 are the result
of ocean warming, not because of human activities, and that high levels of CO2 cause
vastly increased precipitation which results in vastly increased snowfall in moderate
temperature zones and in the polar regions which in turn brings on ice ages.
In short, he has told us the reason why CO2 levels have gone through the roof, what caused
those levels to increase and what the result will be.
Anyone who reads this blockbuster of a book and pays attention to his regularly updated
website will understand just what we face, and will come away with a feeling of absolute
contempt for those politically inspired global warming advocates who are lulling many of
our fellow human beings into dangerous complacency.
The threat is here; the threat is now.
Let me close with something I wrote last month:
"If the current geological holocaust now underway is the result of a natural cycle -
in this case as I argue in my study another needed regeneration of the planet, it's not an
act of God but an act of nature. Sure God - the author of nature could put a stop to it,
but it could well be that He wants us to sit up and take notice - to use the disasters to
warn us to straighten up and fly right while there's still time - bad times are a'commin
and we had better be ready spiritually.
"We're on notice. Christ told us that those with eyes better see, and those with ears
better hear. We had better keep our eyes and ears open. Time's a'wastin."
Deus exaudi nos
Globaloney & Poppycock (July 12, 2005)
I called it Globaloney, which I thought was a creative way to describe the mass hysteria
known as global warming, now commonly referred to as "climate change. "
Now Comes Professor David Bellamy* with what I think is a much better and more
down-to-earth description that says it all in one simple word: "Poppycock!"
Writing in Britain's Daily Mail July 9, Dr. Bellamy charges that "the world's
politicians and policy makers ... have an unshakeable faith in what has, unfortunately,
become one of the central credo of the environmental movement. Humans burn fossil fuels,
which release increased levels of carbon dioxide - the principal so-called greenhouse gas
- into the atmosphere, causing the atmosphere to heat up.
"They say this is global warming: I say this is poppycock. Unfortunately, for the
time being, it is their view that prevails.
"As a result of their ignorance, the world's economy may be about to divert billions,
nay trillions of pounds, dollars and rubles into solving a problem that actually doesn't
exist. The waste of economic resources is incalculable and tragic."
The global warming theory prevails principally because it gives the promoters of this
classic example of junk science an opportunity to impose all sorts of restrictions on
human activity that will help them accomplish their real goal: a global socialist
government.
Think I'm exaggerating? Stop for a moment and take a hard look at those politicians behind
the global warming fiction. Begin with the grandfather of the movement, Mikhail Gorbachev,
an unrepentant socialist who never gave up on the idea of a world socialist order after
socialism wrecked the Soviet Union. Communism having failed, global warming is his new
mechanism for achieving his goal.
Among the world leaders lusting after adoption of the Kyoto Treaty - a dandy little
mechanism for wrecking free enterprise economies such as our own are:
France's Jacques Chirac - Socialist;
Germany's Gerhard Schroeder - Socialist;
Britain's Tony Blair - Socialist.
Spain's Jose Luís Rodríguez Zapatero - Socialist
Etc. etc.
Needless to say the socialist-minded U.S. media does everything in their power to promote
global warming, frequently portraying any soul hardy enough to dispute the theory as
uninformed red state yahoos.
Get the picture?
Once you accept the notions that: global warming is real and threatens to barbecue all of
us; is a result of the increase in atmospheric levels of CO2; is largely due to us evil
old humans burning fossil fuels and cooking on backyard barbecues, you can be convinced
that our global big brothers can prevent a catastrophe by imposing all sorts of coercive
rules and regulations applied globally.
Needless to say, if mankind is going to take such harsh measures bound to cripple the
economies of such outlaw nations as the United States - allegedly the world's worst
polluter and burner of fossil fuels and serial practitioner of backyard barbecuing,
somebody has to be in charge. And that somebody would in effect have to be equipped with
dictatorial powers that would enable him to impose a lot of laws that would in the end
reduce us all to the status of subjects of the new absolute global authority - a status
none of us really wants to endure.
So what's the real deal with global warming?
Wrote Dr. Bellamy: "Whatever the experts say about the howling gales, thunder and
lightning we've had over the past two days, of one thing we can be certain. Someone,
somewhere - and there is every chance it will be a politician or an environmentalist -
will blame the weather on global warming.
"But they will be 100 per cent wrong. Global warming - at least the modern nightmare
version - is a myth. I am sure of it and so are a growing number of scientists. But what
is really worrying is that the world's politicians and policy makers are not."
Noting that "a recent scientific paper, rather unenticingly titled 'Atmospheric
Carbon Dioxide Concentrations Over The Last Glacial Termination,' ... showed that
increases in temperature are responsible for increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide
levels, not the other way around he cited a petition "produced by the Oregon
Institute of Science and Medicine, which has been signed by over 18,000 scientists who are
totally opposed to the Kyoto Protocol, which committed the world's leading industrial
nations to cut their production of greenhouse gasses from fossil fuels.
"They say: 'Predictions of harmful climatic effects due to future increases in minor
greenhouse gasses like carbon dioxide are in error and do not conform to experimental
knowledge.'"
Note that the study he quoted stated that " increases in temperature are responsible
for increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, not the other way around." This
is the key to the whole thing.
In a column last February I cited a book by Robert W. Felix, "Not by Fire but by
Ice" who, I wrote, argued persuasively that it is not global warming but ocean
warming that is pushing CO2 levels through the roof. Moreover, those skyrocketing levels
of CO2 are bringing on a new ice age, which is sitting at our front door right now.
Here's how he puts it: "If today's rising carbon dioxide levels are caused by humans,
then what caused the dramatic rise in CO2 levels at the dinosaur extinction?
"Research shows that there was 'a sudden and dramatic rise' in carbon dioxide in the
Earth's atmosphere at the dinosaur extinction of 65 million years ago. ... [T]today's rise
in CO2 levels can be attributed to our warming oceans. After all, the oceans are known as
a carbon dioxide 'sink,' especially when the water is cold.
"But as the water warms up, it releases CO2 into the atmosphere. This happens in much
the same way that a warm bottle of home-brewed root beer will release CO2. And if you give
that CO2 no way to escape, the bottle will explode. We've got it backwards. We've got
cause and effect in reverse. The CO2 is not causing global warming. Instead, our warming
oceans are releasing CO2 into the atmosphere. It's not global warming, it's ocean warming,
and it's leading us into an ice age."
According to Felix, the oceans are warming as the result of widespread underwater volcanic
activity, which he thoroughly documents. He adds that "We've forgotten that this
isn't the first time our seas have warmed. Sea temperatures also shot upward 10º to 18ºF
just prior to the last ice age. As the oceans warmed, evaporation increased. The excess
moisture then fell to the ground as giant blizzards, giant storms and floods (Noah's
Deluge type floods), and a new ice age began."
And he warns, "The same thing is happening today. Underwater volcanic activity in the
Arctic Ocean far stronger than anyone ever imagined!"
In that column I wrote that the rise of CO2, now about 370 parts per million and rapidly
climbing, was being blamed on us evil humans for using fossil fuels, driving SUVs and
barbecuing frankfurters on our backyard grills. The global warming fanatics ignore the
proven fact that over millions of years, every time CO2 levels have risen above 200 parts
per million, an ice age has occurred.
"And in past ice ages, we weren't around to cause the levels to rise. Mother Nature
did it all on her own, and she doesn't drive an SUV."
Felix has demonstrated convincingly that rising levels of CO2 are the result of ocean
warming, not because of human activities, and that high levels of CO2 cause vastly
increased precipitation, which results in vastly increased snowfall in moderate
temperature zones and in the polar regions, which in turn brings on ice ages.
In short, he has told us the reason why CO2 levels have gone through the roof, what caused
those levels to increase and what the result will be.
Wrote Dr. Bellamy "It has been estimated that the cost of cutting fossil fuel
emissions in line with the Kyoto Protocol would be £76 trillion [$1.3 trillion] Little
wonder, then, that world leaders are worried. So should we all be.
"If we signed up to these scaremongers, we could be about to waste a gargantuan
amount of money on a problem that doesn't exist - money that could be used in umpteen
better ways: fighting world hunger, providing clean water, developing alternative energy
sources, improving our environment, creating jobs.
"The link between the burning of fossil fuels and global warming is a myth. It is
time the world's leaders, their scientific advisers and many environmental pressure groups
woke up to the fact."
Amen
* Professor David Bellamy OBE , Oxford
David Bellamy is one of the most recognizable faces and voices in conservation and ecology
today. He is the author of over 40 books and the writer and presenter of some 400
television programs. His presidencies include the Wildlife Trusts Partnership, the British
Naturalists Association and the Galapagos Conservation Trust. David’s commitment and
energy have been recognized with numerous honors and awards both at home and abroad.
We Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet October 11, 2005
This coming winter will be the coldest in recorded history. Last winter previous records
for frigid weather and massive snow storms fell like ... well ... a heavy snowfall. If I'm
right, we ain't seen nothing yet.
This winter we will see temperatures drop to levels unheard of, violent snowfall will be
routinely measured in feet instead of inches, blizzards will resemble hurricanes in
violence. And just for the fun of it, more and more earthquakes will join in the worldwide
havoc.
Yeah, I know, the world is in the grip of global warming, the Arctic summer sea ice melted
at a greater rate than usual, glaciers are retreating and our air conditioning costs are
going through the roof. What could make me believe that this warming planet could continue
to produce weather increasingly frigid and increasingly violent?
It's really simple. To begin with, the world's glaciers are not retreating. As Robert W.
Felix, author of "Not by Fire But By Ice - the Next Ice Age Now" has
demonstrated on his iceagenow.com web site, fully 75 percent of the planet's glaciers are
growing. Moreover, many scientists believe that the summertime melt, far from being an
ominous development signaling global warming that is melting the ice cap itself, is
actually a cyclical development - a phenomenon that comes and goes over long periods of
time. It is also a symptom of the oceans being heated, but more about that later.
One does not have to be a climatologst to recognize a few simple facts.
Cold fronts begin at the poles and head for the temperate zones. If the poles are warming,
the fronts will be less frigid. If your refrigerator is losing its cooling power, it will
begin to lose its power to do what it is meant to do: refrigerate. And if the Arctic ice
pack is melting or even thinning, as it melts or thins, the cold fronts it sends south
will be less and less frigid.
But if, instead, the ice and snow pack is thickening and becoming more frigid, the cold
fronts it sends south will be increasingly colder.
Ergo, if the polar ice caps are seeing their power to refrigerate slowly diminishing, how
is it that we are witnessing more and more record breaking cold spells? Faulty
refrigerators can't fast-freeze their contents.
As for the very real prospects of massive snowfalls and violent blizzards it is important
to remember a very simple fact: the colder the air in a front, the more violent the storms
created when arctic air meets warm air pushing up from the equatorial regions.
And the warm fronts moving north are increasingly hot, but that is not the result of
global warming - it's due to the warming of the world's oceans.
That ocean warming is created by a huge increase in underseas tectonic activity - the kind
of increased activity (See Pakistan/India/Indonesia etc) we're witnessing on the surface -
submerged volcanoes erupting, gushing red hot magma up through through the earth's crust,
or magma spilling through cracks in the sea floor and turning the ocean waters into
boiling cauldrons.
This super heating of the oceans in turn, Felix, has also convincingly demonstrated, are
sending huge amounts of carbon dioxide into the upper atmosphere. The CO2 becomes moisture
and falls as rain in the summer, autumn and spring, and snow in winter. It also falls as
snow in the Arctic, increasing the depth of the snow pack atop the ice pack. As Felix
says, it's not global warming, it's ocean warming.
The greater the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, the greater the amounts of rainfall and
snow. Those CO2 levels are now near 400 parts per million and growing. Over millions of
years, every time the levels of CO2 have risen above 200 ppm, an ice age has set in. Every
time! Get that? Every time. No exceptions. None.
In my last column on this subject on July 13, I quoted Felix extensively. Here's what he
wrote.
"Research shows that there was ‘a sudden and dramatic rise’ in carbon
dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere at the dinosaur extinction of 65 million years ago ...
today's rise in CO2 levels can be attributed to our warming oceans. After all, the oceans
are known as a carbon dioxide ‘sink,’ especially when the water is cold.
"But as the water warms up, it releases CO2 into the atmosphere," he writes.
"This happens in much the same way that a warm bottle of home-brewed root beer will
release CO2. And if you give that CO2 no way to escape, the bottle will explode. We've got
it backwards. We've got cause and effect in reverse. The CO2 is not causing global
warming. Instead, our warming oceans are releasing CO2 into the atmosphere. It's not
global warming, it's ocean warming, and it's leading us into an ice age."
According to Felix, the oceans are warming as the result of widespread underwater volcanic
activity which he thoroughly documents is now happening. He adds that "We’ve
forgotten that this isn’t the first time our seas have warmed. Sea temperatures also
shot upward 10º to 18ºF just prior to the last ice age. As the oceans warmed,
evaporation increased. The excess moisture then fell to the ground as giant blizzards,
giant storms and floods (Noah's Deluge type floods), and a new ice age began."
And he warns, "The same thing is happening today. Underwater volcanic activity in the
Arctic Ocean far stronger than anyone ever imagined!
"German-American researchers have discovered more hydrothermal activity at the Gakkel
Ridge in the Arctic Ocean than anyone ever imagined.
"The Gakkel ridge is a gigantic volcanic mountain chain stretching beneath the Arctic
Ocean. With its deep valleys 5,500 meters beneath the sea surface and its 5,000 meter-
high summits, Gakkel ridge is far mightier than the Alps.
"Two research icebreakers, the ‘USCGC Healy’ from USA and the German
‘PFS Polarstern,’ recently joined forces in the international expedition AMORE
(Arctic Mid-Ocean Ridge Expedition). In attendance were scientists from the Max Planck
Institute for Chemistry and other international institutions.
"The scientists had expected that the Gakkel ridge would exhibit ‘anemic’
magnetism. Instead, they found ‘surprisingly strong magmatic activity in the West and
the East of the ridge and one of the strongest hydrothermal activities ever seen at
mid-ocean ridges.’
"The Gakkel ridge extends about 1800 kilometers beneath the Arctic Ocean from north
of Greenland to Siberia, and is the northernmost portion of the mid-ocean ridge system.
"To their surprise, the researchers found high levels of volcanic activity. Indeed,
magmatism [blazing hot magma flowing from eruptions] was ‘dramatically’ higher
than expected.
"Hydrothermal hot springs on the seafloor were also far more abundant than predicted.
‘We expected this to be a hydrothermally dead ridge, and almost every time our water
measurement instrument came up, they showed evidence of hydrothermal activity, and once we
even 'saw' an active hot spring on the sea floor,’ said Dr. Jonathan Snow, the leader
of the research group from Munich's Max Planck Institute in a 2003 press release. "
Researchers he reported said 'Naturally occurring bubbles of liquid carbon dioxide were
observed rising from the ocean floor,'according to the Associated Press. 'For the first
time ever, scientists using a camera-equipped submarine have been able to witness an
undersea volcano during an eruptive episode.'
"Exploring the ocean floor in an area known as the Mariana Trench, last year
researchers found bubbles of liquid carbon dioxide being released into the sea, enlarging
up to a thousand times and turning to gas as they drifted upward."
"El Niño is related to ocean warming 'Ice ages looked like El Niño' according to
the July 12, 2002 issue of Nature. "During past ice ages," the article says,
‘the tropical Pacific Ocean behaved rather as it does to day in an El Niño event
...Shifts between warm and cool global average temperatures look like super El
Niños.’
" 'Our seas, heated by underwater volcanism, are leading us directly into the next
ice age . . . and we don’t even know it.'
"That's what El Niño is all about," Felix explained . "Warmer seas send
excess moisture into the sky, leading to increased precipitation.
"Worldwide flood activity is the worst since before Christopher Columbus. In Poland,
it's the worst in several thousand years. In the U.S., precipitation has increased by more
than 20 percent just since 1970. This is no coincidence.
"When that precipitation begins falling in the winter, you have the makings of an ice
age."
Now for a few more sobering thoughts. Thanks to the growing levels of CO2 in the
atmosphere, rainfall is increasing in amounts and intensity. We have been witnessing
incredibly heavy rainfalls over the past year. As I write this, parts of New York and New
England are being hit with anywhere from nine to twelve inches of rain. 9 to 12 inches!
Given the fact that an inch of rain is the equivalent a foot of snow, just contemplate the
results of those nine inches of rain becoming nine feet of snow, or twelve inches of rain
falling as twelve feet of snow this winter.
That snowfall will come in the form of violent blizzards carrying hurricane force winds.
Why? Because as mentioned above, the fronts coming south will be bitterly cold while the
warm air moving north, thanks to ocean warming heating the temperate zones, and the two
will clash and produce havoc and destruction on a massive scale. Imagine nine or even
twelve feet of snow falling in the Midwest and not melting for weeks on end. You are
talking about the onset of nothing less than an ice age.
As the Associated Press reported "More than 176,000 people died in the earthquake and
tsunami of December; an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 in the quake Saturday; perhaps 1,000 or
more in Guatemalan landslides last week; more than 1,200 in Katrina. Asian beaches,
mountainous Kashmir villages and American urban streets and casinos all were
overwhelmed."
There's a lot more to come. As I wrote, we ain't seen nothing yet.
Pater noster, qui es in caelis, sanctificetur nomen tuum; Adveniat regnum tuum. Fiat
voluntas tua secut in caelo et in terra. Panem nostrum quotdianum da nobis hodie. Et
dimitte nobis debita nostra, secut et nos dimittimus debitoribus nostris.
A Few More Words on What’s Coming
Last week I stuck my neck way out, and in my column "We Ain't seen Nothing Yet"
predicted that the coming winter will be the coldest on record.
I gave some of my reasons for believing that but failed to reveal my underlying rationale:
that 1. the time between the end of an interglacial period and the onset of glaciation is
a bare 20 years; 2. that period is increasingly violent, with myriad tectonic calamities -
increased earthquakes, volcanism above and below the surface of the world's oceans, and
destructive weather events - hurricanes, blizzards, cloudbursts - all in all a very
unpleasant time to be an inhabitant of this planet.
Does all this sound familiar? Is it similar to what we have been witnessing at this very
moment in time?
I'm revisiting this subject because I got a lot of e-mail challenging my prediction on a
number of points. I was reminded that a lot of climate experts - folks many of whom
blandly misinform us regularly about tomorrow's weather - are predicting a mild winter. My
answer to those who raised this point: just let's wait and see.
Others got into the technical aspects, raising points about the current climate
conditions, some far more complex than I could even begin to understand and to which I am
not qualified even to consider in a reply.
One reader however, showed that I was wrong in writing that the rising levels of CO2 being
emitted by the oceans were converted to moisture in the atmosphere.
Let me correct that error here by quoting an explanation from Robert Felix of
iceagenow.com: " As the underwater volcanoes heat the oceans, the rate of evaporation
of the ocean water increases. As the evaporation increases, it increases the amount of
moisture rising into the sky. With more moisture in the sky, the amount of precipitation
must therefore also increase ... When this increased precipitation begins falling in the
winter, you have the makings of an ice age."
The increase in atmospheric CO2 is thus merely evidence of ocean warming and a signal that
excess moisture is being sent aloft.
I think it's important to understand that I am not a scientist nor a climatologist or
meteorologist or any kind of weather expert. I am an investigative reporter and it in that
capacity I have spent of lot of time over the past ten years examining the state of our
climate and the increasing number of odd events vis-a-vis the weather and the state of
tectonic activity. I began with no preconceived notions other than the old truism that
"Everybody talks about the weather but nobody does anything about it”
The fact that we suddenly found ourselves being preached to by a bunch of snotty
know-it-alls who in their arrogance prated about an alleged global warming threat and
decided to do something about it kind of stuck in my craw. When they attempted via such
economy destroying absurdities as the Kyoto accord to assume authority over the entire
world and impose their Marxist views on every human being on the face of the earth I made
up my mind to dig into the whole subject.
My efforts resulted in an eight-part study published on Wednesday on the Web in 1997
"Global Warming or Globaloney" in which I advanced the idea that we are
gradually entering a new ice age.
Since then I have had no reason to change my mind, and over the past eight years I have
observed all sorts of signs that my original thesis, with a few exceptions, was largely
right on target.
So that's where I am today, now more than ever fully convinced by what is happening in the
world around us that we are facing a global catastrophe about which we can do not one
damned thing.
I contend that we are in the final stages of that 20 year period that leads up to the
onset of glaciation and it is that possibility that most concerns me. It is why I am
trying to sound the alarm. Given that mankind is powerless to stop an ongoing natural
process it becomes imperative that we get our lives in order.
I don't believe that we are approaching the end of the world and the final judgment. I do
believe that we are approaching the end of an <i>age</i>. Humanity will
survive the violence, but in lesser numbers, just as humanity has survived past periods of
violence and catastrophe such as the black plague and other pandemics and wars that
decimated the ranks of mankind. God knows what He is doing and unlike the global warming
fanatics, He allows nature to take its course. He never promised us a rose garden in this
vale of tears.
In Global Warming or Globaloney I wrote about the 20 years of violence and I'll end with
part of what I wrote eight years ago:
"If you're one of those people who can't stand hearing bad news, you'd better stop
reading right here. If our contention that the world is entering a period of increasing
cooling leading to the next ice age is correct, what lies ahead is anything but pretty.
"And there is far more evidence that what we are now experiencing are the effects of
global cooling -- of the end of an interglacial period -- than there is of global warming
as an isolated phenomenon.
"The transition period between interglacial periods and glaciation is not a smooth
one --history shows it to be violent beyond imagination. And it may be just around the
corner. If the unchallenged results of the work of Genevieve Woillard and others who
studied past ice ages are any indication of the pace of glaciation, once it starts, the
transition period is a mere twenty years or so. And we may be well into that 20-year
period now. Woillard estimated that the period before that final 20 years -- when the
earth began gearing up for an end to the interglacial period -- could be as long as 150
years and as short as 75 years
"It is important to understand that what we are concerned with here is solely that
transition period. It is the only part of the process that will affect us or our children
or grandchildren and generations after them. Actual glaciation -- that period when much of
the globe is covered with huge sheets of ice, is thousands of years away. New Yorkers, for
instance, needn't worry about seeing their city groaning under the massive weight of miles
of glacial ice unless they plan to live for another 30,000 years or so.
"Glaciers move at a snails pace, but history shows that the process which sets them
in motion is lightning fast.
"The proponents of global warming insist that the climate is getting warmer. They
cite all sorts of contradictory evidence based mainly on computer modeling. And their
models have consistently failed to conform to reality. The things they confidently predict
will happen simply don't happen. It's a classic case of GIGO -- garbage in, garbage out.
"They cite as one proof of warming 'average global mean temperatures' which in
reality should be termed 'global meaningless temperatures.' Averaging out temperatures
from around the globe will not give any indication of what is actually afoot. What matters
is how hot it is in the tropics and subtropics and how cold it is at the poles.
"Using global mean temperatures in this case is something like reporting that the
average mean score of a 14 point-to-six point football game was 10 points, without giving
any other information.
"It ignores the fact that one team won and one team lost!
"The case for global cooling, on the other hand, deals with demonstrable facts. And
it explains much of the phenomena that puzzles most of the scientists who deal with them.
"Take volcanism, for example. Vulcanologists are scratching their heads over the vast
increase worldwide in volcanic eruptions. The current eruptions in Monserrat and Hawaii
have wondering what's behind the increase in volcanic activity and what's next.
"Global cooling proponents have a ready explanation: the increasing weight of the
fast growing ice caps at the Poles.
"As Peter Tomkins and Christopher Bird explained in their book, Secret of the Soil:
"... ice and snow, accumulating at the poles presses down on the